Fabio Natalucci on FICC Focus | EM Lens: Seeking Solace Ahead of IMF’s Spring Meetings

Sovereign balance sheets should come under renewed pressure as the war-induced oil shock forces EM governments to take extraordinary measures aimed at actively defending their domestic economies. Fabio Natalucci, CEO of the Andersen Institute for Finance & Economics, joins Damian Sassower, Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief EM fixed income strategist, to assess the risks facing EM creditors as the war in Iran endures. Natalucci and Sassower differentiate between level and trend when discussing the medium-term impact to EM growth and inflation expectations, with potential for yields to decline once recession probabilities reach a boiling point.